Reading the daily newspaper or tuning in to CNBC is sometimes enough to trigger a mild anxiety attack. As The Aleph Blog points out, however, "there are many that cover the markets that try to get you to worry about things that aren’t real problems." Little bugaboos that sound scary on TV may not be so scary after all. Here are a few news items that The Aleph Blog has picked out as causing unnecessary fear, uncertainty and doubt for individual investors:
(1) Rating agency downgrades - "For the most part, market spreads and yields are set independently of debt ratings. Sophisticated investors dominate the market, not the rating agencies. As an example, suppose the US were downgraded to Aa1/AA+/AA+. After a week, I doubt yields would change much at all, because the fundamental view of the US would not be changed by a change in its rating."
(2) High credit spreads - "Those are a reason to be optimistic, because it means pain has been taken already. Spreads can’t get higher than a certain level, or companies start delevering, because it is profitable to do so. So when you see spreads near record highs, that is a buying signal, at least for the debt."
(3) Retailers in trouble - "Some retailers are always in trouble during hard economic times. It’s a tough business model, so expect some defaults; it is normal and healthy for the economy as a whole."
What do you think: What events or trends are overrated as sources of investor anxiety? (And does the mainstream media focus too much on them?)




