Stocks that made it through the Great Depression

tradeking posted on 02/17/09 at 11:09 AM

Concerned that the current economic malaise could worsen, Jason Zweig of the Wall Street Journal takes a trip in the Way Back Machine to check out which stocks and sectors performed best during the Great Depression. Fitting, given that so many market commentators are referring to the current time period as the "worst recession since the Great Depression." What Zweig finds is that only one industry posted positive returns from 1930 to 1932: logging. By 1933, when the market finally started to recover, only 13 of 120 different industries were able to generate gains. Of these, there was only "one clear winner" - companies that manufactured "cheap vices" in the form of cigarettes, cigars, sugar and confectionary products, and fats and oils.

With that as backdrop, Zweig offers up three possible investing ideas for the current economic environment: (1) shares of name-brand companies with relatively little debt (2) stocks of firms that enable consumers to indulge in cheap vices (with the exception of tobacco companies) and (3) intermediate-term investment-grade corporate bonds.

What do you think? What sectors or industries will provide shelter from the economic storm?

DISCLAIMER:  Any strategies discussed and examples using actual securities and price data are for educational and illustrative purposes only and do not imply a recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell a particular security or to engage in any particular investment strategy. In reading content in the Community or elsewhere on the TradeKing Website, you may gain ideas about when, where, and how to invest your money. Although you may discover new ideas or rationale that may be compelling, you must ultimately decide whether or not to put your own money at risk. Consider the following when making an investment decision: your financial and tax situation, your risk profile, and transaction costs.

[image: Down and Out on New York Pier]
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Posted by tradeking on 02/17/09 at 11:09 AM

Comments

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idid posted February 17, 2009 (01:04PM)

Booze and guns! There are going to be alot of folks losing their jobs and turning to booze, and guns for getting supper.
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stevenbhorse posted February 18, 2009 (12:18PM)

Homestead mining went up about 500% during the depression.  Not too shabby since the broad equity indices from top to bottom was ~ -90%.

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