Just thought I'd report on my experience trading spreads in the current market.
I've closed four spread trades using options expiring in March:
- Winner, Bear Put, $1850 gain
- Loser, Bear Call, $875 loss
- Loser, Bear Call, $865 loss
- Winner, Bear Put, $2870 gain
I have a bunch of other trades that are still open based on options expiring in March:
- Sure winner, Bear Call, $380 gain
- Sure winner, Bear Call, $400 gain
- Winning, Bear Call, $370 gain
- Winning, Bear Call, $400 gain
- Sure winner, Bear Call, $410 gain
- Winning Bull Put, $500 gain
- Sure Winner, Bear Call, $450 gain
- Sure Winner, Bear Call, $550 gain
- Winning, Bear Call, $290 gain
- Winning, Bear Call, $220 gain
- Winning, Bear Call, $400 gain
- Winner, Bear Call, $1200 gain
- Sure Winner, Bear Call, $400 gain
- Winning, Bear Call, $200 gain
- Winning, Bear Call, $550 gain
19 trades, 17 winners, a gain of $9500. The option requirements were about $75K, since all of the trades were not open at the same time. That's about 12% a month, during a pretty crappy month. Unfortunately, I left another part of my portfolio long, so the success of this strategy just allowed me to bail as fast as I was taking on water.
In the spirit of full disclosure, I have seven additional spread trades open, 5 expiring in April and 2 in July. The April trades were entered between March 10 and March 12, and they were all bearing in nature. All five of the April trades are currently negative, but none of them are yet looking dangerous, and time decay and the general market direction are both working strongly in my favor.
This had actually been a pretty comforting month in the sense that I've gained confidence in my ability create winning trades in a bear market. Instead of having to say, "this stock is going in this direction", I only have to say things like, "this stock will not go down by more than 20% in the next three weeks", or "this stock will not go up by more than 15% in the next three weeks".
This will never create a big winner. But if I can even generate 3% a month on a consistent basis, I'll be retiring early.







