mpc220 > Trade Notes

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5 Day -5.25%
15 Day -6.85%
1 Month 44.06%
3 Month 360.23%
6 Month 235.48%
As of: 11/21/08

Member since: Dec 07

Sold Short 100 shares of FNM at 21.93

Users Bought (30 Days) 21 (100%)
Users Sold (30 Days) 0 (0%)
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Transaction: Sold Short
Symbol: FNM
Quantity: 100 shares
Price: $21.93
Value: $2,193.00
Stop Order: Yes @ $24.10
Target Price: $18.00

FNM got a big bump today.  A rising tide lifts all boats.  Does the stock deserve it?

I don't think so.  It makes sense for this Fed liquidity program to boost the financials, because it will be easier for them to turn illiquid securities into extremely liquid Treasuries.  But how does it help FNM?  FNM doesn't hold any of these securities.

For the last few weeks Fannie Mae has been surfing a tidal wave of bad news.  There's still rumor that "the mother of all writedowns" is coming.  I was wrong, it turns out, to have closed all my short positions in this stock.  The current situation looks like a good opportunity to put some on again. 

That said, who knows where a rally will lead and if it will continue in the coming days.  Stop order in at $24.10.

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1 user tagged it: FNM, stock, short
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snowman

Member since: Mar 07

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Age: 40's
Pittsford , NY UNITED STATES
snowman
I do not comment on peoples picks any more because I am wrong most of the time. I see your point and if you hold it long enough you will make money. Again I still see more upside to the market presently, but I will start to buy puts in the 134 SPY range. Good luck.
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mpc220

Member since: Dec 07

5 Day -5.25%
15 Day -6.85%
1 Month 44.06%
3 Month 360.23%
6 Month 235.48%
As of: 11/21/08
Trades 197
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mpc220
Thanks, you too.  Guess we'll see if this rally has legs shortly. 
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