fuzzy > Trade Notes

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5 Day 4.66%
15 Day 2.68%
1 Month -2.50%
3 Month -8.56%
6 Month -13.50%
As of: 01/06/09
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Member since: Dec 07

Bought QID at 48.20

Users Bought (30 Days) 50 (100%)
Users Sold (30 Days) 0 (0%)
Market Cap 783.10M
52-Week High 102.60
52-Week Low 36.44
10 Day Volume 23.24M
P/E 0.00
EPS (Trailing 12 Mos.) 0.0
1Day 5Day 1Mo 3Mo 6Mo 1Yr

Transaction: Bought
Symbol: QID
Quantity: Not Shared
Price: $48.20
Value: $Not Shared.
Stop Order: No @ $N/A
Target Price: $0.00
Can't really swing-trade stocks in this market.  Decided to short the Nasdaq 100, I plan to hold this through at least the end of the week.
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Posted by fuzzy on 01/23/08 at 12:12 AM

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Will Profit

Member since: Mar 07

Trades Not Shared
Trade Notes 77
Blog Posts 115
retired
Age: 90's
UNITED STATES
Will Profit
I believe you made a great decision with this strategy.
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Cramsz

Member since: Dec 07

5 Day 0.00%
15 Day 0.00%
1 Month 0.00%
3 Month -24.64%
6 Month -51.26%
As of: 01/06/09
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Trades 22
Trade Notes 6
Blog Posts 0
Cramsz
Long term I think you are right, short term I'm affraid you will get crushed, betting against the fed rate cut also QID is very extended above it's 50 ave.
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lumburg

Member since: Jan 08

5 Day -3.46%
15 Day -6.15%
1 Month -2.74%
3 Month 12.12%
6 Month 19.85%
As of: 01/06/09
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Trades 185
Trade Notes 17
Blog Posts 2
Facilities and Production Manager at a Microbrewery
Age: 30's
Blanco, Texas
lumburg

I have to agree with the above.  I was picking $58-62 as its peak, and of course chose to set my limit order at $62 which didn't quite hit.

 This bounce could be over, it could last a month, it could be the bottom (and the start of a 10 year bull market).  I suspect it fall again soon.  I'm not willing to put too much money on the definition of "soon" in that statement, but I'm betting it will fall.

 The most fundamental thing to learn with the UltraShorts, especially in this volatile market, is to set a strategy and time frame, believe in it, and stick with it.  And keep some cash at hand to buy further into the position if it works against you for a time.  Set a sell point (I'd suggest at a 10%-30% gain as a realistic spectrum before you're going to see bounce [off the ceiling in this case]), buy incrementally into dips below your entry point, recalculate average price and coresponding sell price, stick with the program and wait for the fundamentals behind your decision to play out.  WARNING: This may take way longer than expected.

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fuzzy

Member since: Dec 07

5 Day 4.66%
15 Day 2.68%
1 Month -2.50%
3 Month -8.56%
6 Month -13.50%
As of: 01/06/09
How is this calculated?
Trades 26
Trade Notes 7
Blog Posts 1
fuzzy
My sell was set at $57.50 and I really really bummed when it didn't hit yesterday, would have been an excellent return. MY plan was to hold until Friday because I believe all the tech companies reporting this week would give weak guidance driving the Nasdaq down. So far I've been correct, AAPL and EBAY have done that, and MSFT is today. If MSFT gives poor guidance tonight I believe the markets will fall on Friday, which is why I chose that for my exit day.

I'm barely clinging to a profit now and it looks like there will be a mini-rally today sending QID even lower. They say "Plan the trade, and trade the plan" but it's really hard to do (or maybe stupid to do) when it feels so wrong.  Right now QID is up in premarket, maybe it's not so bad. :)

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NicoleWachs

Member since: Jul 07

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Age: 30's
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NicoleWachs

Fuzzy,

 

I sympathize with your frustration when the trade does not turn out as planned. Kudos for even knowing that having a trading plan is important. Keep in mind that one trade does not a plan make. Nor does one trade make a career. All successful traders are about the longer term. Even day traders and scalpers. It's about how many successful trades you make over the long haul, not about being right on a handful. It looks like you stuck to your plan in exiting. Even though you would have been profitable had you stayed, your discipline would have been sacrificed in the process. Traders cannot second guess their decisions. We can only learn from them and move forward. Way to go in sticking to your plan. Many appreciate the chance to read about your trades and use the information to improve their own trading. Thanks for the post!

 

Now for the legalese: A trading plan is only one item to consider when placing a trade. Each trade should be evaluated on case by case basis with decisions made based on personal risk parameters.

 

--Nicole Wachs

TradeKing Staff

Training and Education Manager

 

 

Commenting on Trade Notes is something that TradeKing will be doing from time to time. You may want to check out my most recent posts:

 

http://community.tradeking.com/members/nehemiah/trade_notes/3866-bought-to-open-qqq-cx-at-0-98

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fuzzy

Member since: Dec 07

5 Day 4.66%
15 Day 2.68%
1 Month -2.50%
3 Month -8.56%
6 Month -13.50%
As of: 01/06/09
How is this calculated?
Trades 26
Trade Notes 7
Blog Posts 1
fuzzy

Nicole,

Thanks for the post!  I did exit the trade Friday morning, at a loss because it was below my stop limit, and if I had stuck to it until even the end of Friday I would have at least broken even.  But like you say, if I had moved my stop, I would have broken my plan, and even though the end result would have been better, I wouldn't have learned nearly as much as I did having taken the loss.  I am in the process of actually documenting my trading plan (as so many people so to do) so that I am less likely to deviate from it in the future.

Thanks again! 

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