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Q1 GDP guesses

EnglishTeach posted on 04/27/08 at 09:50 AM

So, post your GDP guesses.  Closest gets an imaginary piece of Juicy Fruit.  My official guess:  0.1 barely hanging on to positive.  I would guess a negative, but just can't seem to be that glum this evening (no economic skills whatsoever--just a guess).  I think I've seen some analysts predicting 0.2.

Plus, here's an incredibly dry read by Jeremy Grantham on the Fed and other topics (I skimmed, but may save the rest for a sleepless night).  I found a link to the article on Paul Kedrosky's blog.

 

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Posted by EnglishTeach on 04/27/08 at 09:50 AM

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snowman

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snowman
Posted April 27, 2008 (11:33AM)
.6
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Will Profit

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Will Profit
Posted April 27, 2008 (01:41PM)
.8 so the fantasy can continue.
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snowman

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snowman
Posted April 27, 2008 (05:42PM)
Do not worry it will be revised later!
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WallStreetKing

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Posted April 27, 2008 (06:01PM)

Finiancial Forcast Center ? .58 at end of close, correct if i am reading it wrong.

The perils of forcasting WSJ

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corbinb2

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corbinb2
Posted April 28, 2008 (01:35AM)
OK I'll bite.... 0.4
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EnglishTeach

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Posted April 28, 2008 (07:36AM)

juicy_fruit.jpg

 

Reminder of First Place Virtual Prize:  One Intangible Stick of Juicy Fruit (Sans Buffet Dentures)

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DannyUpshaw

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DannyUpshaw
Posted April 28, 2008 (12:09PM)
ok.  virtual juicy fruit is tha bomb... .05.  (probably will be .2, but I wanted to be contrarian and go even lower.  I can't let EnglishTeach out doom and gloom me. hehe.).
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EnglishTeach

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Posted April 30, 2008 (03:45AM)
Snowman nails it!  0.6 indeed.  I'm thinking the market will take it as positive news since most were expecting worse.  Any thoughts?
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snowman

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snowman
Posted April 30, 2008 (11:26AM)
Listen Juicy Fruit is my favorite gum I have loved it since my earliest memories. It is the inside info that gave me the #.  It will be revised down to say recession later. Just like when Clinton was elected they revised the 3 up later to say their was no recession. The Wall Street Mob hard at work. Do not tell anyone I told you this or I might have to kill you. Actually they do not kill people any more, they just take all their money!
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EnglishTeach

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Posted May 01, 2008 (03:17AM)
They take your money so you can't buy juicy fruit? (worse than death)
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