darylrs > Blogs

User Avatar
Brokerage Account
5 Day 4.58%
15 Day 14.06%
1 Month 23.71%
3 Month 83.50%
6 Month 30.11%
As of: 12/02/08

Member since: Jun 07

January 18th, 2008

OK, people.  Enough fear, let's see some greed!

 Or at least some cautious buying of good equities.  I haven't been around the block enough times to say that I recognize capitulation, but this market seems like it's done most of its deflating.  My approach these days is putting a little more cash to work for the Vanguard and 401 K.  I've got orders in for QQQQ and SPY for Vanguard, and AAPL for 401-K.  (My view on AAPL remains that it is a volatile stock in a great company which can afford NO trip-ups in performance and maintain its valuation short-term.  However, I think that within the next 10-15 years Gen Y and younger generations will overwhelmingly choose Macs for their homes over PC's.)

 My XLF June and Jan 09 calls are languishing, but I'm going to hold on.  Bought PLT 22.5 Feb Calls when the stock inexplicably dropped 10%.

Add to del.icio.us Digg on Digg.com Submit to reddit.com
Bookmark It!

User Avatar
User Avatar Brokerage Account

UPod

Member since: Dec 07

5 Day -2.98%
15 Day -0.71%
1 Month -26.63%
3 Month -38.18%
6 Month -44.32%
As of: 12/02/08
Trades 87
Trade Notes 21
Blog Posts 75
Programmer / Analyst
Age: 30's
Minneapolis, MN
UPod

Hi Darylrs -

Good post.  I agree with you that Apple is going to gain marketshare in the personal computer space over the next 10-15 years.    I do question whether were done seeing the market deflate.   To me, what were seeing seems like a slow drip.   I compare this environment to having a balloon and sticking a small pinhole close to where the knot is made.  The air comes out really slowly and you get this hissing sound.    Personally,  I'd much rather just stick the pin in the center of the balloon and pop that sucker.   Why delay the inevitable?

 

User Avatar
User Avatar Brokerage Account

lumburg

Member since: Jan 08

5 Day 5.17%
15 Day 9.35%
1 Month 13.69%
3 Month 56.17%
6 Month 49.60%
As of: 12/02/08
Trades 173
Trade Notes 17
Blog Posts 2
Facilities and Production Manager at a Microbrewery
Age: 30's
Blanco, Texas
lumburg

Sell your Apple while you can.  Great company.  Great product.  It still has a P/E ratio that can't be justified.  As for QQQQ:  I'd suggest selling the QID you buy instead in a couple of years and buy back into QQQQ then--that way you won't have to sleep on your sister's couch during retirement.
If you love huge P/E's & think I'm crazy, then sell the AAPL & get some GOOG.  At least it has the potential for growth to (possibly) justify its jimormous P/E.

 

The content and stock or option symbols on this page are for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered a recommendation or solicitation to invest in a particular security or type of security. Your use of the TradeKing Community is conditioned to your acceptance of all TradeKing Disclosures and of the TradeKing Community Terms of Service. © 2008 TradeKing.
Testimonials may not be representative of the experience of other clients and are not indicative of future performance or success.