DannyUpshaw > Blogs

User Avatar
Brokerage Account
5 Day 0.00%
15 Day -0.32%
1 Month 38.79%
3 Month -34.71%
6 Month -35.70%
As of: 12/02/08

Member since: May 07

Dell

And easy swing trade. I think.  Maybe even a hold for a more substantial again.  This post won't be as detailed as I usually try to go, but here are the basics...

Dell has gotten hammered lately.  However, I like Dell, for the following reasons. 

  1. More cheap labor and parts from China.
  2. Cost cutting. (Cutting back on labor - closing the Austin, TX plant.)
  3. Using more resellers (more of a presence in Wal-mart, etc.  I mean, if you can buy a Dell or an Acer, who are you going to go with? Nothing against Acer, they make decent machines, but I like my Dell more.)
  4. HUGE stock buyback (apparently ongoing...has it even started yet?).  Looks like they started a $10 BILLION dollar buyback in December of 2007.  Does anyone have any idea how long it would take to buy back $10 Billion worth of shares?  I think the buyback was meant to start years ago, but they had some auditing problems (investigations), and they're just now (in December) resuming the buyback.   I don't understand why the buyback resuming didn't get more press, or isn't still getting press.  That's a LOT of stock to be bought back, and I figure it will support the stocks price a bit. (Of course, I have been wrong before..)
  5. Expanding worldwide market (India, anyone?)
  6. Per last CC, they are growing at a slight "premium" to the market. This guy has a decent write up, that seems to agree with a lot of my thoughts.

Anyways, the bottom looks like it was around $19.  I bought at $19.53, and the stock has been bouncing from the $19.## to $20.##.  This looks like a good one to swing trade.  I figure the stock buyback could help maintain the price level, which is near yearly lows. 

Lots of negative press around Dell right now, but I don't buy it all.  I don't think things are as bad as the press is making out. 

If the trade doesn't pan out, I can always sell a covered call and make back some of my money.

Add to del.icio.us Digg on Digg.com Submit to reddit.com
Bookmark It!

Edited by DannyUpshaw at 10/07/08 10:20 PM
1 user tagged it: DELL
User Avatar
User Avatar Brokerage Account

WallStreetKing

Member since: Mar 07

Trades Not Shared
Trade Notes 41
Blog Posts 0
Serving Others
Age: 40's
NC UNITED STATES
WallStreetKing

I think your right, its set to increase. From what I understood they eliminated there build to suit line for PCs. I think this is a good move and a better business model for DELL. Over time it will increase their revenue and decrease there build costs. That will certainly give a more reliable sales forcasts.

this year they should see some added revenue from the previous expenses from building in NC. Absolutely a good point to enter and try for a swing.

I believe the current sell off was more on earnigns over the last 2 quarters. .32 .34  last year and on Feb .31 cents. PEACE

 WSCI hit 200ma and is set to go more. holding for free from 4.xx with stop/limit set. 115%

FREE is moving well bought last week up about 20%

HAS is moving well bought last week up about 7%.

 PEACE

User Avatar
User Avatar Brokerage Account

EnglishTeach

Member since: Mar 06

Trades Not Shared
Trade Notes 0
Blog Posts 61

Age: 40's
UNITED STATES
EnglishTeach
offtopic/ check the link on drudge about death by blogging
The content and stock or option symbols on this page are for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered a recommendation or solicitation to invest in a particular security or type of security. Your use of the TradeKing Community is conditioned to your acceptance of all TradeKing Disclosures and of the TradeKing Community Terms of Service. © 2008 TradeKing.
Testimonials may not be representative of the experience of other clients and are not indicative of future performance or success.