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It's Not as RAD(bad) as it Looks...

I recently wrote a trade note on fortifying my position on Rite-Aid. With the price this morning down 1.5% as I write this, you may be thinking..."That Dude is Crrrrrraaaaaazzzzzyyy!", but let's look at the facts.

 

1. Same store sales have been consistently rising the last few months as the Brooks & Eckerd acquisition start to affect the bottom line.

2. Stock price is at or near it's 52 week low. Yes this is a positive.

3. Brooks & Eckerd absorbtion is nearly complete.

4. Financial issues appear to be settling.

 

Of course these are subjective positives, but one of two things will happen in my opinion. The stock price will rise as results improve over the next 2 quarters OR a buyout offer is coming. As I stated in my recent trade note, either will net me a return, and with the lower current price may also be a good entry point for shoring up existing positions and opening new ones.

 

With the information provided in my recently received report regarding  the pending annual meeting on 6/25/08, it appears to remain a good investment, although a longer position than I had originally intended. Granted I have a vested interest as an owner of this stock, but I would certainly dump it if I felt there was no chance of recovery for this stock. Your opinon may of course differ from mine.

 

DISCLAIMER: I personally hold this stock and the opinions expressed are affected by that fact. These are merely my opinons and the choice to buy/sell this stock should be your own based on your own research and comfortable level of risk.

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Posted by corbinb2 on 06/19/08 at 05:12 AM

Tag It | 1 user tagged it: RAD, stock

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DavidDT Trading-to-Win.com

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RAD is due for a bounce as I type it ( at least short term ) - I think 15-20% possible, opened position at 1.92
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corbinb2

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corbinb2

ahhh...the sweet sound of validation....lol

 

I really try not to give the appearance of a pump and dump stance. It just seemes to me this price is far too low for it's fundamentals.

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DavidDT Trading-to-Win.com

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well, if market tanks more, RADs might just be the last line of defence or just a takeover target, chart looks interesting ... with tight stop - I don't fall in love with stocks :))
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corbinb2

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corbinb2

If the market tanks, this will be picked up as a bargain buy for those too looking to recoup losses. If it doesn't tank, it should go up on it's own anyway, just take longer.

 

Sort of a TBTF stock and I think the current price is just way low. I wouldn't stay in under 1.75, but doubt it will go that far down.

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snowman

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Funny that is one stock that will not be hit hard by the coming depression.
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Will Profit

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Hey, call me crazy but I'm holding RAD JULY $5 calls. Been holding 'em for a couple of months. It could happen?!?!?! 
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DavidDT Trading-to-Win.com

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Will - you don't REALLY want to be called "crazy", don't you? :-)
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mpc220

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What are you guys seeing that I'm not?  Company's cash-flow negative for the last year without borrowings, and has no earnings to speak of.  I don't want to sound all contrarian but it looks like this stock is as low as it is for good reason.
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corbinb2

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The  biggest part of their current 'negative' appearance is directly related to the Brooks & Eckerd buyout. You can see my reasons listed above, but the end result in my opinion is that they are undervalued and poised for better things. Just my opinion and each of you are entitled to your own.
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