BigTrends.com’s Blog posts
Market Outlook - Rally Defies the Odds
What a week! Stocks continued to defy the odds by making their sixth weekly gain in a row, with very little news (and even less good news) as a prompt. How much longer can this go on, and cat... more
What does history tell us follows such a consistent uptrending market?
Myself and other market followers have noted the amazingly consistent nature of the market recently. For example, you can see in the following chart that the S&P 500 Index (SPY) (SPX) has... more
Nasdaq Depth and Bollinger Bands a Concern
Weekly Market Outlook (Technical Analysis, Economic Calendar, Sector Performance): We talked about this a week ago, and the idea gained some traction over the past five trading days. What’s... more
The Week Ahead - Inflation and Bollinger Bands
Things were humming nicely as the unquestioned rally continued on into the latter part of last week. The 0.5% pullback on the last day of last week, however, translated into only a weekly gai... more
What Sectors Have Led the Rally? And What Will Lead in Year 2?
What’s Hot in Year Two of a Bull Market? Like it or not (and believe it or not), we’re in a bull market. Last week we celebrated the one-year anniversary of the March-2009 bottom, and are... more
The Week Ahead - FOMC and the Dollar
In complete contrast to the prior week’s loss, the market was up four out of five days last week (and the one loser was barely in the red for the day). All told, the average stock gained about 1... more
Russell 2k Up 9 Days in a Row, Does This Bode Well?
As of Thursday's close, the small-cap oriented Russell 2000 Index (RUT) had closed higher for 9 straight trading days. We decided to look at previous examples of this occurrence and see what the... more
The Week Ahead - Basic Materials and Small Caps
The market overcame the odds and continued to rally last week, gaining an average of about 3%. The numbers themselves look great, but before you pop the champagne, you should know the rally may ... more
DJIA 1929 versus 2010 - Depression Averted Thus Far
Take a look at the following chart, which overlays the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) (DIA) with the 1929 market crash and the 2008 market crash. It shows the subsequent performance over th... more
The Week Ahead - Real Estate and Unemployment are Key
Stocks fought off the sellers on Thursday and Friday, though it wasn’t enough to pull the market back into the black for the week. Was it the beginning of a rebound though? We’ll discuss that po... more
Earnings Valuation for the S&P 500 - Not a Rosy Picture
While the bulk of our work here at BigTrends.com is chart-focused, there’s nothing wrong with adding other layers of analysis to your broad trading plan. In fact, we’d suggest anything that give... more
What is the Arms Index (TRIN) Saying Now?
There are many good market timing and other technical indicators out there, which we are constantly testing, creating, modifying and improving in-house here at BigTrends. Today, we will re-intr... more
More Fed Tightening is Down the Road
Rate Hike Has Mixed Reactions So the Fed raised the discount rate, and in a cryptic way they seemed to get by without much damage. Did they really foretell such a move, and if so why put this ... more
Week Ahead - Nasdaq, Housing Starts & More
It ended up being a positive week for stocks, though only barely. Had it not been for Thursday’s pop, the S&P 500 wouldn’t have ended the week up by 0.87%. And, the gains may well have ... more
Unemployment, Sector & Earnings Outlook
Despite Friday’s rebound, the move didn’t pull the market that deep into the black for that day, and certainly didn’t undo the damage for the week. The S&P 500, for instance, gained 0.3% for... more
BigTrends Super Bowl Analysis & Picks
It's that time of year again ... Super Sunday. This year the perennial contenders Indianapolis Colts face the somewhat "Cinderella" New Orleans Saints. The Saints are certainly the sentimental... more
Market Outlook - Earnings, Economic Calendar, S&P 500, VIX and More
It wasn’t as bad as the week before, but it was still pretty nasty. The major indices fell anywhere from 1.0% (the Dow) to 2.6% (the NASDAQ) last week, in a move that’s become much more than jus... more
When a Trading Loss is a Win
I wanted to pass along an email we just received from one of our coaching clients. He nicely states the value of education, discipline and methods to improving your trading results: "As I just... more
Revisiting the Big Picture Long-Term Fibonacci Retracement Rally
Although as option traders we are often concerned with tomorrow's move, and in fact in our BigTrends Index Options Timer program we trade the markets systematically from hourly charts, it's often u... more
Anatomy of a Market Correction
So THIS Is What a Correction Looks Like Is that it? With a thundering push down markets sold off hard last week. Support fell like a hot knife through butter, and while the uptrend is still... more
