Forum > Oil Puts?
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nkitchen31

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Anybody's thoughts on oil puts?

I just don't think that this high price could sustain for much longer. And with the Petro report coming out on Wednesday, I think their public report will result in a drop in price. I'm just predicting a reverse trend on oil soon. I see the futures still holding to the high point, but I just think a drop in the near future... but that's just me.  :)

 Thanks!

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MR.TRADE

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What is the Petro Report?
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nkitchen31

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Petroleum Report on Wednesday
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OptionA

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Since the implied volitility has declined recently, I think it seems like a pretty good play.  If there is minimal reaction, you can probably get out with a relatively small loss.  If you are right, you might have it drop fairly sharply.

If you're willing to get in now, and out after, it looks like a good risk/reward.

I wouldn't stick around if you don't get the results and reaction you're looking for though... the trend is your friend.

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nkitchen31

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OptionA:

 Thanks for your response. I have been recently looking at DUG August Calls.

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niiAmoo

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Found this Option pricing site .. check it out

http://www.naotia.com/BinomialOptionPricingUserInterface.html

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4fore1putt

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I think oil still has legs, I think it goes to at least $160.
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nkitchen31

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well if my friggen bank would have deposited my money into my TK account on time, I could have made that DUG AUG $29 CALL last week ... a$$holes

 

 

$$$ out of the pockets now!!!

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Swift

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i say the oil trend hasn't peaked yet. the put play should be waiting on deck.
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nkitchen31

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no DUG put would have produced a lot of cash!!!  argh!

 gotta find the next deal... perhaps Alcoa?

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nkitchen31

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no DUG put would have produced a lot of cash!!!  argh!

 gotta find the next deal... perhaps Alcoa?

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farmer tom

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im looking at them too