Forum > How do you find beforehand if a stock is close to FDA approval?
User Avatar
User Avatar Brokerage Account

russianguy131518

Member since: Mar 09

5 Day 6.83%
15 Day -2.22%
1 Month 0.87%
3 Month 13.15%
6 Month 8.19%
1 Year N/A
As of: 11/06/09
How is this calculated?
Trades 112
Trade Notes 4
Blog Posts 0
russianguy131518 Brokerage Account
Is there a website that lists all stocks that are close to FDA approval?
User Avatar
User Avatar Brokerage Account

OldFart

Member since: Jun 08

Trades Not Shared
Trade Notes 0
Blog Posts 0
OldFart Brokerage Account
One can find the PDUFA dates but they can be rescheduled and nobody knows if the application will be approved and any limitations involved
User Avatar
User Avatar Trader Network Account

livinTheLife

Member since: May 09

Trades Not Shared
Trade Notes 0
Blog Posts 0
Jackson and NO Bank!
Age: 40's
Beverly Hills, CA
livinTheLife Trader Network Account
If you want to be a real smart ass call FDA up and pretend to be working for the company.

''Inside'' info ;]
User Avatar
User Avatar Brokerage Account

SF

Member since: May 08

Trades Not Shared
Trade Notes 0
Blog Posts 0

Age: 20's
FL
SF Brokerage Account
http://www.tradingmarkets.com/

Posts info regarding that stuff sometimes... I haven't rummaged around to find one for June, but just for the sake of an example, here's the one I saw for May:

http://www.tradingmarkets.com/.site/news/TOP%20STORY/2319254/
User Avatar
User Avatar Brokerage Account

BeretDude

Member since: Mar 09

Trades Not Shared
Trade Notes 32
Blog Posts 2
Retired early, but working a pt job just to keep myself from laying around on the couch all day. :)
Age: 50's
Palm Harbor, Florida
BeretDude Brokerage Account

russianguy131518 said: Is there a website that lists all stocks that are close to FDA approval?

 I don't know how many trades you do a month, russian.. but if you do at least 25, you can get the streaming quotes and along with that is the very earliest news that comes out.  My only problem is getting in my bids when I see them, but any news of FDA approvals show up there.  It sure worked yesterday with XTNT and today it worked with PMTI.
User Avatar
User Avatar Brokerage Account

dr banner

Member since: Jun 09

5 Day 0.00%
15 Day 0.00%
1 Month -35.15%
3 Month -44.40%
6 Month N/A
1 Year N/A
As of: 11/06/09
How is this calculated?
Trades 7
Trade Notes 2
Blog Posts 0
dr banner Brokerage Account
OK so here is the basic list that i have for the year 2009.

Savient Pharmaceuticals
Drug/indication: Krystexxa for gout
FDA advisory panel date: June 16
FDA decision date: Aug. 1

BioDelivery Sciences
Drug/indication: Onsolis for breakthrough cancer pain
FDA decision date: June 15

Spectrum Pharmaceuticals
Drug/indication: Zevalin for non-Hodgkin's lymphoma
FDA decision date: July 2

Labopharm
Drug/indication: DDS-04A for depression
FDA decision date: July 18

United Therapeutics
Drug/indication: Tyvaso for pulmonary arterial hypertension
FDA decision date: July 30

Advanced Life Sciences
Drug/indication: Restanza for community-acquired pneumonia
FDA decision date: July 31

NeurogesX
Drug/indication: Qutenza for neuropathic pain
FDA decision date: Aug. 16

Allos Therapeutics
Drug/indication: Pralatrexate for peripheral T-cell lymphoma
FDA decision date: Sept. 24

Amgen
Drug/indication: Denosumab for osteoporosis
FDA decision date: Oct. 19

Acorda Therapeutics
Drug/indication: Fampridine for multiple sclerosis

GTx
Drug/indication: Acapodene for prostate cancer
FDA decision date: Oct. 30

Vion Pharmaceuticals
Drug/indication: Onrigin for acute myelogenous leukemia
FDA decision date: Dec. 12

User Avatar
User Avatar Brokerage Account

OldFart

Member since: Jun 08

Trades Not Shared
Trade Notes 0
Blog Posts 0
OldFart Brokerage Account
I think SVNT has some event in June. With two weeks to go options are very expensive. Underlying is around 7.50 now and the 7.50 ATM straddle is around $3.50, 50% of the price of the shares. Wow!
User Avatar
User Avatar Brokerage Account

BeretDude

Member since: Mar 09

Trades Not Shared
Trade Notes 32
Blog Posts 2
Retired early, but working a pt job just to keep myself from laying around on the couch all day. :)
Age: 50's
Palm Harbor, Florida
BeretDude Brokerage Account

dr banner said: OK so here is the basic list that i have for the year 2009.

Savient Pharmaceuticals
Drug/indication: Krystexxa for gout
FDA advisory panel date: June 16
FDA decision date: Aug. 1


Advanced Life Sciences
Drug/indication: Restanza for community-acquired pneumonia
FDA decision date: July 31

 I might point out here, that the FDA advisory panel decisions are big events also and tend to make stocks bullish.
Regarding  'Advanced Life Sciences' (ADLS), on June 2, an FDA advisory panel voted 11-3 to recommend against Restanza's approval. The FDA generally,but not always, listens to the advice of its advisory panel decisions. If you check the charts you will see that the stock did drop significantly that day.
Also, to add to the list:

AMAG Pharmaceuticals (AMAG) 
FDA decision date is June 26  but shares of this have already been climbing, and could possibly be too late to get in? 

Auxilium Pharmaceuticals (AUXL)
FDA decision date is August 28  
This one has not made a significant move yet, and in fact was down over a half buck at close on Friday June 5, so could be a good possible?

Of course, there is still Hemispherx Biopharma (HEB)  that everyone has been touting.  There is something odd about that stock, and it did drop considerably on Friday and personally, I think I will pass on it now.  Rumors being rumors.. :)
User Avatar
User Avatar Brokerage Account

BeretDude

Member since: Mar 09

Trades Not Shared
Trade Notes 32
Blog Posts 2
Retired early, but working a pt job just to keep myself from laying around on the couch all day. :)
Age: 50's
Palm Harbor, Florida
BeretDude Brokerage Account

BeretDude said:

AMAG Pharmaceuticals (AMAG) 
FDA decision date is June 26  but shares of this have already been climbing, and could possibly be too late to get in? 
 I posted this before I got around to amending my statement there when I said could possibly be too late to get in?..Nawwww..but then you never really know if the drug will get the FDA approval, so might think about scaling into this one?   :)
User Avatar
User Avatar Brokerage Account

DEWHITT68

Member since: Oct 08

5 Day -3.71%
15 Day -9.47%
1 Month -7.48%
3 Month -6.42%
6 Month -0.52%
1 Year 19.96%
As of: 11/06/09
How is this calculated?
Trades 327
Trade Notes 1
Blog Posts 0

Age: 40's
Ohio
DEWHITT68 Brokerage Account

From what I have heard the  "HEB" approval or regection will be Monday .

User Avatar
User Avatar Brokerage Account

OldFart

Member since: Jun 08

Trades Not Shared
Trade Notes 0
Blog Posts 0
OldFart Brokerage Account
Sorry, I missed the part with June 16 date advisory panel for SVNT. It is nice when theory and practice align - options have priced the event with > 300% volatility. FDA does not have to follow the recommendation of its advisory panel but they usually do
User Avatar
User Avatar Brokerage Account

BeretDude

Member since: Mar 09

Trades Not Shared
Trade Notes 32
Blog Posts 2
Retired early, but working a pt job just to keep myself from laying around on the couch all day. :)
Age: 50's
Palm Harbor, Florida
BeretDude Brokerage Account
Adding to aforementioned list of drugs up for FDA approval:

ISTA Pharmaceuticals (ISTA)
FDA advisory committee to review Bepreve for the treatment of eye itching    June 26

This stock seems to be flying under the radar for some reason that I couldn't put a finger on.  Maybe someone else will see something I missed about it, but for having announced an FDA NDA meeting on this new drug, I don't see significant interest in it...yet.
Personally, I am not going to let happen what has happened to me the past few trading days and let one slip by.. this puppy is going into my account first thing Monday morning.   ;)
User Avatar
User Avatar Brokerage Account

OldFart

Member since: Jun 08

Trades Not Shared
Trade Notes 0
Blog Posts 0
OldFart Brokerage Account
SVNT is up > 50% today on rumors that the FDA says the gout drug is working. Congratulations if you had the conviction to go long, my condolences for the shorts
User Avatar
User Avatar Brokerage Account

BeretDude

Member since: Mar 09

Trades Not Shared
Trade Notes 32
Blog Posts 2
Retired early, but working a pt job just to keep myself from laying around on the couch all day. :)
Age: 50's
Palm Harbor, Florida
BeretDude Brokerage Account

OldFart said: SVNT is up > 50% today on rumors that the FDA says the gout drug is working. Congratulations if you had the conviction to go long, my condolences for the shorts

 No, sadly OF, I did not go with SVNT, and obviously very sorry I didn't.  I am hoping to make up for it with BDSI.  I liked what I saw in the comparisons of the charts between SVNT and  BDSI for the dates this thread ran for, before today,   And to back up my believe I will freely admit that I just purchased 500 shares of BDSI for $6.74.   I am susceptible to any and all critiques of this trade.  :)
User Avatar
User Avatar Brokerage Account

dr banner

Member since: Jun 09

5 Day 0.00%
15 Day 0.00%
1 Month -35.15%
3 Month -44.40%
6 Month N/A
1 Year N/A
As of: 11/06/09
How is this calculated?
Trades 7
Trade Notes 2
Blog Posts 0
dr banner Brokerage Account
i too didnt go in on SVNT. =( i actually like how the chart looks for SSPI.
BDSI and SSPI will be one of my orders for monday.
User Avatar
User Avatar Brokerage Account

Symbiot

Member since: Mar 09

Trades 3
Trade Notes 0
Blog Posts 0
Symbiot Brokerage Account
Wow, and I was thinking about buying some SVNT yesterday, but I thought it had not bottomed out yet. Kicking myself over this one. Oh well, can't win them all.
User Avatar
User Avatar Brokerage Account

BeretDude

Member since: Mar 09

Trades Not Shared
Trade Notes 32
Blog Posts 2
Retired early, but working a pt job just to keep myself from laying around on the couch all day. :)
Age: 50's
Palm Harbor, Florida
BeretDude Brokerage Account

BeretDude said:


  I am hoping to make up for it with BDSI.  I liked what I saw in the comparisons of the charts between SVNT and  BDSI for the dates this thread ran for, before today,   And to back up my believe I will freely admit that I just purchased 500 shares of BDSI for $6.74.   I am susceptible to any and all critiques of this trade.  :)

 I guess I will critique this one myself.  Bought at 6.74... afterhours trading took it to 7.55.. 12% gain.. I can live with it.    ;)
And like SVNT, it is just now crossing back up over the 200 DAY SMA
User Avatar
User Avatar Brokerage Account

OldFart

Member since: Jun 08

Trades Not Shared
Trade Notes 0
Blog Posts 0
OldFart Brokerage Account
I chickened out as well. Did not go long and put some complex position, sold a spread to get the money for extra calls. If the FDA panel recommends the approval on Tuesday, it will be OK
User Avatar
User Avatar Brokerage Account

BeretDude

Member since: Mar 09

Trades Not Shared
Trade Notes 32
Blog Posts 2
Retired early, but working a pt job just to keep myself from laying around on the couch all day. :)
Age: 50's
Palm Harbor, Florida
BeretDude Brokerage Account

BeretDude said:


AMAG Pharmaceuticals (AMAG) 
FDA decision date is June 26  but shares of this have already been climbing, and could possibly be too late to get in? 

Auxilium Pharmaceuticals (AUXL)
FDA decision date is August 28  
This one has not made a significant move yet, and in fact was down over a half buck at close on Friday June 5, so could be a good possible?

Of course, there is still Hemispherx Biopharma (HEB)  that everyone has been touting.  There is something odd about that stock, and it did drop considerably on Friday and personally, I think I will pass on it now.  Rumors being rumors.. :)

 
As an update to this post, one week later, AMAG down 3%....  AUXL is 14% higher ....  HEB is down 15%(this is from Monday-Fri)(but down 38% from Friday-Friday)

Personal belief
is that it is buy time for AMAG and AUXL,  but stay away from HEB.  Heck, if that friggin Cramer can say anything he wants, so can I.   ;)

To be continued... ;)
User Avatar
User Avatar Brokerage Account

dr banner

Member since: Jun 09

5 Day 0.00%
15 Day 0.00%
1 Month -35.15%
3 Month -44.40%
6 Month N/A
1 Year N/A
As of: 11/06/09
How is this calculated?
Trades 7
Trade Notes 2
Blog Posts 0
dr banner Brokerage Account
Bret, your thoughts on ADLS??