Bold predictions.

Posted by NASDAQsavages on July 22, 2012 (07:44PM)

Tomorrow im targeting a close at to below 1355. 1355 is where we would need to close for the uptrend that started on 6/4 to still be intact.. I doubt it holds.. 

Im targeting 1325 on the SPX by Wednesday or Thurday give or take 5 points. (its a whole thing how i come to that number and time). If we start to trade below 1325 it can ugly very quick.

For EUR/USD the next level is obviously 1.19ish (june 2010 low). But i will note that it has room to run up before it hits the closest resistance line to bounce down off of (6/29 - 7/19 downtrend). It dosent have to go touch that line to keep going down though.

There doesn't appear to be any major economic news until Thursday. So we will start to trade off of European things I don't understand. Also don't be confused when we start to trade lower on earnings of the same quality we were trading up on last week. That's just how it works here.

Posted by made to trade on July 22, 2012 (08:34PM)


Futures are down.  Tomorrow should be a good day.  I've been working on a strategy, and this time I've taken my biggest position to date.  Should be interesting to see the results.

Posted by NASDAQsavages on July 23, 2012 (09:46AM)

and all of a sudden 1325 doesn't seem like a stretch.. hope all of my fellow investors were hedged.. any trader worth their salt was short, so we are having a real good morning.. Everyone remain cautious and trade hard..

Posted by sky02316 on July 23, 2012 (09:49AM)

We are going to get a bounce at the standard time i think

Posted by sky02316 on July 23, 2012 (09:50AM)

selling is slowing down here

Posted by NASDAQsavages on July 23, 2012 (09:52AM)

we might get a bounce but i wouldn't be a buyer, unless it explodes higher. My screen say unlikely. I would maybe add to my shorts on a bounce but i don't want to get over extended on the short side. 

Posted by sky02316 on July 23, 2012 (09:54AM)

I am re-shorting at the top of the bounce. I booked some profits for now

Posted by NASDAQsavages on July 23, 2012 (10:01AM)

same here.. I love it here.. such a marvelous thing we have.. 

Posted by NASDAQsavages on July 23, 2012 (04:02PM)

Took off 75% of my short position at around 134.10 (THANK GOD)
Going to hold the remaining 25% over night. Still holding a double on it. Nothing compared to the quadruple i was selling em at earlier.

By some miraculous way the market manages to hold the up trend on the SPY its a little off on the SPX. Very impressive showing today for the bulls. Either way pretty close to my initial target of 1355. Hope everyone made it out ok.

My target of 1325 by wednesday is now on hold because all the trading that has now taken place from 1337 - 1350 is going to provide many levels of support along the way. And the fact that we are closing on the uptrend make me far to nervous to be positioned overly bearish. You cant win them all. You know what they say bulls make money, bears make money, and the pigs.... well pigs are just pigs.

Posted by sky02316 on July 23, 2012 (06:17PM)

I called it a day early so I didn't see the last hour. Thought it would touch 1355 and looks like it did. Although in ah it pulled all the way back to 134.3? The last few hours are confusing me. A lot. Not too sure of the direction for the next few days and I don't want to get burned.

Posted by SimpleTrades on July 23, 2012 (09:27PM)

I'm glad I didn't get in yet, Too many supports to cut thru. It's not giving up easy. I'll wait at least until it goes below the 50 SMA.

Posted by incubus on July 23, 2012 (10:21PM)

Dog + bell = drool

Posted by sky02316 on July 23, 2012 (11:02PM)

incubus said: Dog + bell = drool

ok i see where you're going with this now, but when does the dog stop responding that is the question......

Posted by incubus on July 23, 2012 (11:58PM)

sky02316 said:

incubus said: Dog + bell = drool

ok i see where you're going with this now, but when does the dog stop responding that is the question......

 It was strictly for chuckles, I seldom talk resistance/support, chart patterns or indicators in short term trades for this reason.

I've seen a pattern repeatedly, one month everyone is talking how the market can't stop rallying & fundamentals/technicls are incredible...three months later, with the exact same economic variables, everyone's talking how there's no way the market can go up.

The pivot usually comes when almost everyone agree's.

Best Indicator I know, go against this -  http://www.aaii.com/sentimentsurvey

Posted by BAKES THE GREAT on July 24, 2012 (12:26AM)

incubus said:

sky02316 said:

incubus said: Dog + bell = drool

ok i see where you're going with this now, but when does the dog stop responding that is the question......

 It was strictly for chuckles, I seldom talk resistance/support, chart patterns or indicators in short term trades for this reason.

I've seen a pattern repeatedly, one month everyone is talking how the market can't stop rallying & fundamentals/technicls are incredible...three months later, with the exact same economic variables, everyone's talking how there's no way the market can go up.

The pivot usually comes when almost everyone agree's.

Best Indicator I know, go against this -  http://www.aaii.com/sentimentsurvey

One of the best indicators I know is that if a company starts reporting it is losing more money its stock price goes down.

Posted by incubus on July 24, 2012 (03:03PM)

Well, well, this is where it gets interesting...SPX just lingering, taunting the indecisive at 1331. "...are ya feelin' lucky, punk?"

Posted by NASDAQsavages on July 24, 2012 (03:58PM)

IM SO CLINT EASTWOOD I KEEP MY FIST FULL OF DOLLARS..

closed all short positions.
Im done. Made enough to justify not trading for the rest of the week. I love it.
It got close enough to my target to not be stubborn and wait for it to hit 1325.
Seems like it was a good move the market is exploding up at the close hahahaha the market cant catch me. 

It was good short week.. God bless.. yall take care.

Posted by NASDAQsavages on July 24, 2012 (04:22PM)

incubus said: Dog + bell = drool

 Just heard we moved higher at the close on FED talk...
Good call Inky.

Posted by incubus on July 24, 2012 (04:33PM)

Go ahead, make my day.

Posted by sky02316 on July 24, 2012 (04:39PM)

ok looks like the time is now, should be only a couple weeks before we see spx in the 110's

earnings are all tanking the only thing that was holding this up was the supposed great "valuations" that some people on here were babbling about

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