Let's talk about Ford [F]
Lots more buys than sells from traders on TradeKing recently. They're also one of the most widely held stocks here.
IMO The stock is severely underpriced, they've got a P/E ratio of 2!, $9 shares and they're earning $4.50.
On top of that, since the recession they've begun to make some of the most top quality cars in their price range and is one of the THE leaders in fuel efficiency. Upcoming All electric Focus, and ramping up EcoBoost production, with a new 1.0 litre engine, and all these ecoboosts are going to have very HIGH fuel economy.
What seems to be holding the stock price down is obviously the Euro-crisis. They have strong ties there. But with still such high profits, it's hard to see why it's THIS low.
They also have a lot of debt, but this is because they are embarking on a huge expansion phase. Opening plants, hiring more employees, ramping up production from the U.S. and especially in China.
Unfortunately, technical analysis on the site shows on a Descending Continuation Triangle, long term bearish, that estimates a future price of $7. I just don't see how they could possibly get this low.
I'm betting on them long-term bullish, with an estimated price of $16 in a year or two and when the Euro situation gets better.
Everyone's thoughts on them?
eSHkidd, I like F and think Alan Mullally is one of the best CEO's out there. There is one glaring flaw in your analysis that I'd just like to point out. When you see a PE that seems a little out of whack, it's important to open the income statement and try to understand why. In the case of Ford, you will find on their 2011 income statement a one time tax benefit of $11B. Not sure what it's relating to, but that would be in the annual report for sure.eSHkidd said:
IMO The stock is severely underpriced, they've got a P/E ratio of 2!, $9 shares and they're earning $4.50.
Everyone's thoughts on them?
So what's the easiest way to factor such one-time items out? Just look at the company's EBITDA ratio (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization). Roughly speaking, the operating earnings. If Ford's case, that's 9.52. Neither cheap nor expensive.
I do like Ford, but I don't think now is the time to buy it. If the economy continues to slow, F will be very sensitive to that.
I stay away from automakers as a matter of principle. I have zero doubt that no taxpayer money will be spared to ensure that Government Motors is declared a "success". I used to do the same with airlines, but by golly they are now run like real companies now that have to earn a buck to stick around. DAL is my current favorite.eSHkidd said: What are everybody's opinions on Ford?
Lots more buys than sells from traders on TradeKing recently. They're also one of the most widely held stocks here.
IMO The stock is severely underpriced, they've got a P/E ratio of 2!, $9 shares and they're earning $4.50.
On top of that, since the recession they've begun to make some of the most top quality cars in their price range and is one of the THE leaders in fuel efficiency. Upcoming All electric Focus, and ramping up EcoBoost production, with a new 1.0 litre engine, and all these ecoboosts are going to have very HIGH fuel economy.
What seems to be holding the stock price down is obviously the Euro-crisis. They have strong ties there. But with still such high profits, it's hard to see why it's THIS low.
They also have a lot of debt, but this is because they are embarking on a huge expansion phase. Opening plants, hiring more employees, ramping up production from the U.S. and especially in China.
Unfortunately, technical analysis on the site shows on a Descending Continuation Triangle, long term bearish, that estimates a future price of $7. I just don't see how they could possibly get this low.
I'm betting on them long-term bullish, with an estimated price of $16 in a year or two and when the Euro situation gets better.
Everyone's thoughts on them?
As do I about GM. But F is the real success. They didn't accept bailout money and they don't plan to. They were smart with their assets and prepared some nets to catch them.Patches O'Houlihan said:
I stay away from automakers as a matter of principle. I have zero doubt that no taxpayer money will be spared to ensure that Government Motors is declared a "success". I used to do the same with airlines, but by golly they are now run like real companies now that have to earn a buck to stick around. DAL is my current favorite.eSHkidd said: What are everybody's opinions on Ford?
Lots more buys than sells from traders on TradeKing recently. They're also one of the most widely held stocks here.
IMO The stock is severely underpriced, they've got a P/E ratio of 2!, $9 shares and they're earning $4.50.
On top of that, since the recession they've begun to make some of the most top quality cars in their price range and is one of the THE leaders in fuel efficiency. Upcoming All electric Focus, and ramping up EcoBoost production, with a new 1.0 litre engine, and all these ecoboosts are going to have very HIGH fuel economy.
What seems to be holding the stock price down is obviously the Euro-crisis. They have strong ties there. But with still such high profits, it's hard to see why it's THIS low.
They also have a lot of debt, but this is because they are embarking on a huge expansion phase. Opening plants, hiring more employees, ramping up production from the U.S. and especially in China.
Unfortunately, technical analysis on the site shows on a Descending Continuation Triangle, long term bearish, that estimates a future price of $7. I just don't see how they could possibly get this low.
I'm betting on them long-term bullish, with an estimated price of $16 in a year or two and when the Euro situation gets better.
Everyone's thoughts on them?
I completely agree, I mean no disrespect to Ford, quite the opposite. Mulally and Co. deserve serious props for steering clear of taking a suck on the taxpayer teat. Unfortunately that doesn't change the macro world they live in, where Comrades and so-called crony capitalists play the game of mommy government picks the winners and losers. And in that world Ford competes. GM's numbers are up, all is well, right? Whoops, taxpayers are footing the bill for mommy to buy boatloads of cars from its favorite suckling.eSHkidd said:
As do I about GM. But F is the real success. They didn't accept bailout money and they don't plan to. They were smart with their assets and prepared some nets to catch them.Patches O'Houlihan said:
I stay away from automakers as a matter of principle. I have zero doubt that no taxpayer money will be spared to ensure that Government Motors is declared a "success". I used to do the same with airlines, but by golly they are now run like real companies now that have to earn a buck to stick around. DAL is my current favorite.eSHkidd said: What are everybody's opinions on Ford?
Lots more buys than sells from traders on TradeKing recently. They're also one of the most widely held stocks here.
IMO The stock is severely underpriced, they've got a P/E ratio of 2!, $9 shares and they're earning $4.50.
On top of that, since the recession they've begun to make some of the most top quality cars in their price range and is one of the THE leaders in fuel efficiency. Upcoming All electric Focus, and ramping up EcoBoost production, with a new 1.0 litre engine, and all these ecoboosts are going to have very HIGH fuel economy.
What seems to be holding the stock price down is obviously the Euro-crisis. They have strong ties there. But with still such high profits, it's hard to see why it's THIS low.
They also have a lot of debt, but this is because they are embarking on a huge expansion phase. Opening plants, hiring more employees, ramping up production from the U.S. and especially in China.
Unfortunately, technical analysis on the site shows on a Descending Continuation Triangle, long term bearish, that estimates a future price of $7. I just don't see how they could possibly get this low.
I'm betting on them long-term bullish, with an estimated price of $16 in a year or two and when the Euro situation gets better.
Everyone's thoughts on them?
People will continue to buy cars. There'll be the replacement market in USA, and growth in South America and China. Ford will get its share of business. The stock will improve from current price - so I believe.
On the other hand, I have similar response to GM. I have a position in that one too. Same reason -- I believe people will continue to buy cars, and GM will get its share of the business.
In GM/BKR by Bloomberg - NEW YORK: Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway acquired its largest stake in General Motors before the automaker slumped 16%, as the billionaire chairman hands more responsibility to deputy stock pickers.
Berkshire accumulated about 8.47 million shares of GM through Feb. 3 at an average price of $24.35, according to National Association of Insurance Commissioners data compiled by Bloomberg.
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