A portfolio that produces dividend yield to pay off start up loan payments
Portfolios and trading accounts should always be created with pocket cash (aka money that you can afford to lose) and therefore helps in shoring risk against the rest of your livelihood. The one time you can use money that isn't always affordable to lose would be for something like a matched 401k because you're guaranteed returns based on your employer's contribution contract (your employer matching your contributions is like a dividend).
The part missing from your plan is risk. No matter how well you diversify your portfolio, there will be an event that knocks out one of your stocks (if not more). This would leave you in a position where you would have to liquidate part of your portfolio to make your next payment. Now, with less dividend income, the whole thing could start to unwind, and you might eventually be left with much more debt than assets.
If your a bank, you can barrow from the government for interest rate A. Then use that money to buy Treasury Bonds with an interest payout of A + X.
Banks are people (thanks to Citizens United), but people are not banks.
Is this more like a carry trade or arbitrage? The things people do with money is cool.doougle said: Addendum:
If your a bank, you can barrow from the government for interest rate A. Then use that money to buy Treasury Bonds with an interest payout of A + X.
Banks are people (thanks to Citizens United), but people are not banks.
Note: I do not like any stock in the shipping / bulk transportation industry.
Several closed end funds will do the job as well, but they are not without their pitfalls. Often the dividends are a return of invested funds and the dividends are not stable.
One idea (again not a recommendation) would be to identify a group of 20 stocks that are paying in a tight range of say 9-11% (or whatever range you determine is needed). Keep 8-10 of these in the portfolio and replace with a different stock if any get out of the range. If XYZ is $30 and pays out an $.80 quarterly dividend (10.67%) you can keep that stock as long as the dividend remains constant or is increased over time. Where you would run into trouble is if the dividend is cut to $.55 per quarter. Now the stock is yielding 7.33% and may not meet your needs and replacement may be in order. Using a 9-11% range, having 9 other stocks yielding an average of 10% this one low yielder would not be devastating. Your average yield would still be 9.733%.
One last consideration... what is going to be your collateral for the loan? You don't want to be put our of your home in the event of serious market decline.
And before any of the other forum members blast me for suggesting any of this, I am just trying to answer spida's questions to the best of my ability.
TJ, here is the problem:- a portfolio composed of only high dividend stocks, especially when concentrated in one or two, or even three small segments of the market, is open to the danger of quickly deteriorating when those segments suddenly fall from favor. The $30 REIT, when the real estate industry tanked dropped to $17 over a period of 6-8 months. The dividend was cut to maintain the internal cash flow of the company, but you still owe for the loan of $9000 to fund the original purchase of 300 shares. Say the $240 (each quarter)was enough to pay the note, and maybe have a little left for you, but now the $165 doesn’t cover the loan payment of $210. If you sell the stock, you have little more than half enough to payoff the loan.
Personally out of a portfolio of 50 stocks, I presently have 8 which pay super high dividends. They are spread across 6 different industries, and all together they constitute far less than 20% of the total portfolio. None are margined, I have only borrowed money to fund a purchase on 3 or 4 occasions in thirty years, and each time I had a plan to repay the loan quickly. Never did I borrow for more than six months.
Could I have done better using leverage? Of course, but I could have done much worse. My only regret is that I didn’t buy more house than I did in 1980, but at the time $650 a month mortgage was all that I dared. I don’t regret that I could sleep well with that loan at the time.
Back to Spida, you TJ, are not borrowing to fund your portfolio, he is. That colors how you two will deal with a down turn. TJ and I use our dalliances in high yield to fund our obsessions (for TJ, poking a hole in the water with a string and a long stick – mine is more perverse,) Spida might be much younger, and have needs of a more serious nature.Being new in trading or investing means you will likely lose your money and not gain anything. Therefore it's wiser for you to play with a paper account (fake money) while you learn in your spare time. There is no get rich quick method in anything in life or everyone would be doing it. Penny stocks are just as hard to trade as options and so it's not something you can just pull off successfully from day one (though I made good gains in my first month using them). If you wanna do dividends, that's great but you shouldn't start a portfolio by leveraging debt (you look to get other people to put up their money at no risk to you, which nobody will do for you because you have no track record). You also don't start trading real stuff from day one because you'll lose it all very quickly.
And no I quit trading stocks a long time ago because the margins were so bad. I haven't touched stocks in over 6 months and haven't bought any since September.
You forgot to mention the part where you went from 30k back to almost nothing.treeHamster said: Now you are asking a different question. There are a couple of us on here that do that type of thing but let me tell you, because I'm one of the ones who has done it (I went from $80 to a little over $30k in a month), it's a full time job and you have to know your stuff. I took me about 6 months before I got to where I was making consistent gains and at that point I was also doing it full time (I was trading options).
If Bam-Bam the Tax Man gets his wish of a 39.6 percent tax hit on dividends next year, this should put a dent on the bottom line calculations of using dividends to pay off the loan. .
His dividend tax rate would be only what his regular tax bracket rate is and I doubt he is in the top bracket based on the previous posts. So maybe he is paying 17.5 or 20%, but unlikely he is getting slapped with 39.6%.Scofflaw said: There may be some tax changes regarding dividends in the near future.
If Bam-Bam the Tax Man gets his wish of a 39.6 percent tax hit on dividends next year, this should put a dent on the bottom line calculations of using dividends to pay off the loan. .
Yeah I did drop to 5k after another month. So 80->5k in 12 weeks is great but don't expect to live off it or anything and that was a full time job doing just that, which is why I'm looking for a job in trading or as a quant where I get a salary while I manage some funds.BAKES THE GREAT said:
You forgot to mention the part where you went from 30k back to almost nothing.treeHamster said: Now you are asking a different question. There are a couple of us on here that do that type of thing but let me tell you, because I'm one of the ones who has done it (I went from $80 to a little over $30k in a month), it's a full time job and you have to know your stuff. I took me about 6 months before I got to where I was making consistent gains and at that point I was also doing it full time (I was trading options).
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