Bank of America

Posted by goodfella91 on March 02, 2012 (05:06PM)

Is there any reason for Bank of America to see a pullback to let's say the 7.8 range in the next few weeks. Or are we seeing a positive trend here to at least 8.35-8.50? i mean im seeing some positives here for this company but perhaps im missing something. Any opinions are greatly appreciated.

Posted by Buster01 on March 02, 2012 (05:39PM)

Why do you have $7.8 puts you are trying to breakeven on?

And judging purely from the chart, it looks like BAC is consolidating a bit so it's really anyone's guess.  I'd imagine it would stay the same or trend up in the near term but any news from Europe could change things pretty quickly.

I try to avoid big banks as there is just too much uncertainty and variables.  I'll leave that up to the smart money.

Posted by goodfella91 on March 02, 2012 (10:30PM)

no i dont have any puts. i was just curious. yes big banks are exposed to alot since they have so much gravity. but i guess im more of a macro - oriented guy. i wouldn't purchase a put on BAC right now. i just see too much positives, but yes Europe does scare me alot.

Posted by Buster01 on March 02, 2012 (10:49PM)

I just noticed I put a $7.8 put...BAC only trades options in whole numbers.  Not sure what I was thinking when I typed that.

Anyways, I would agree with you.  I see much potential upside during the next 3 months.  Now with that being said I still feel somewhat bearish on the US economy as a whole with the ongoing debt and policy uncertainty, but the media is not focusing on that. The old adage "out of sight, out of mind" holds true.  I am keeping my longs and hope to open up some more on Monday and ride it out.

Posted by doougle on March 03, 2012 (11:13AM)

Buster, you weren't crazy with your put question.  There are a number of put or call potions that could break even at 7.80.

I'm doing a BAC "fig leaf" position.  I've been running it like a covered call campaign, rolling the short call out from month to month.

It seems to me that BAC is resting around the 8.00 level.  I'm not sure when it moves higher, but seems to have support if it goes much lower than 8.  In fairness, I have been wrong before.  See City Bank.

Posted by mileinthemoney on March 03, 2012 (11:46AM)

Another way to play BAC is to buy a deep in the money LEAPS call on it.  I picked up a $4 Jan2014 call a few weeks ago.  It hasn't moved much yet because of the stagnant stock but its a long term play and has an attractive delta.  Book value is almost 13 so in the next 2 years I feel its a good investment.  As the company works through its crappy mortgages and lawsuits we should see an improvement in cash flow as the firm scales back loan loss reserves quarter by quarter.  

In the near term, with the current interest rate spreads and new bank regulations its difficult for all banks to generate revenue without getting creative.  I haven't the slightest idea what BAC will do in the near term to bridge this revenue gap, if anything; thats why Im giving them a wide berth. 

Im rather new to options trading so cannot comment on the more sophisticated options strategies mentioned.

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