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A play on the ‘ash’ scenario
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Here’s an idea for some of you who are qualified to
sell naked puts. With the threat
of the inhibition of air travel,
there could well be pressure on Boeing’s stock (BA). Now if you think this is an end of the world story, you
could short the stock. I guess you
could short if you were nimble or
willing to be satisfied with a small quick gain, but that’s not me. If you believe that there will be a
reaction that says something like, the lack of air traffic will pressure the
airlines, who will in turn order or cancel plane deliveries, therefore BA will
fall, but you think that this will resolve itself by summer when air traffic picks
up, then you might want to sell a put or two on BA.
Obviously, my analysis of where BA would open was
flawed. Perhaps I’m not quite the
deep thinker that I pretend to be;
maybe I should give more credence to my wife when she says that “I’m
only a legend in my own mind.” Nah, the heck with Xanthippe.
Maybe some kind of a pairs trade - short the European airlines trading here - British Aerospace, Lufthansa and Air France and long US based airlines
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